Archive for the Uncategorized Category

Just how mild has this December been?

Posted in Uncategorized on January 1, 2016 by telescoper

In case you hadn’t noticed…

Michael de Podesta's avatarProtons for Breakfast

A great deal of rain has fallen on some parts of the UK this month (December 2015) A great deal of rain has fallen on some parts of the UK this month (December 2015) (Source : BBC)

It’s been exceptionally warm this month.

We will have to wait a day or two for the various agencies to compile their annual reports, but let me précis the results for you:

  • 2015 has been ‘warm’.

And this  warmth has been evident where I live and work, in Teddington.

Analysing the data from my weather station a day early, I have compared my local results with the ‘climate normals’ for nearby Kingston upon Thames.

‘Climate Normals’ are the average values of various meteorological quantities over (typically) 30 year periods, in this case from 1981 to 2010.

Graph showing the 'Climate Normals' for the daily maximum and minimum temperatures for Kingston upon Thames. Also shown are data from my weather station for September, October, November and December. Graph showing the ‘Climate Normals’ for the daily maximum and minimum temperatures for Kingston upon Thames. Also shown are the averaged data from my weather station for September, October, November and December. Click the graph for a larger…

View original post 400 more words

Song At Year’s Turning

Posted in Uncategorized on January 1, 2016 by telescoper

Shelley dreamed it. Now the dream decays.
The props crumble; the familiar ways
Are stale with tears trodden underfoot.
The heart’s flower withers at the root.
Bury it then, in history’s sterile dust.
The slow years shall tame your tawny lust.

Love deceived him; what is there to say
The mind brought you by a better way
To this despair? Lost in the world’s wood
You cannot stanch the bright menstrual blood.
The earth sickens; under naked boughs
The frost comes to barb your broken vows.

Is there blessing? Light’s peculiar grace
In cold splendour robes this tortured place
For strange marriage. Voices in the wind
Weave a garland where a mortal sinned.
Winter rots you; who is there to blame?
The new grass shall purge you in its flame.

by R.S. Thomas (1913-2000)

Happy New Year!

Posted in Uncategorized on December 31, 2015 by telescoper

Although midnight is hours away here in Cardiff I realise that it’s already 2016 in some parts of the world so I thought I’d get my New Year’s greeting in early!

image

I have to admit that 2015 hasn’t exactly been the best year of my life, either personally or professionally, but that’s all the more reason to think positively about the future.

To all the readers of this blog, wherever you may be, I wish you and your loved ones peace and good fortune for the year ahead.

2015 in review

Posted in Uncategorized on December 31, 2015 by telescoper

The WordPress.com stats helper monkeys prepared a 2015 annual report for this blog.

Here’s an excerpt:

The Louvre Museum has 8.5 million visitors per year. This blog was viewed about 410,000 times in 2015. If it were an exhibit at the Louvre Museum, it would take about 18 days for that many people to see it.

Click here to see the complete report.

Bridge Puzzlement

Posted in Uncategorized with tags , on December 30, 2015 by telescoper

image

I don’t often have time to peruse the Bridge columns but this one by Maureen Hiron in today’s Independent caught my eye.

South ended up as declarer in 3 No Trumps, against which the standard lead by West would be the 8♥ (4th highest of longest suit). This turns out very badly for the defence, however, as it makes South’s Queen into a winner. Keeping the A♥ in place to prevent a heart attack (!), South can then easily win 12 tricks, losing only one (to the K♦).

In the game discussed in the column. West (Zia Manhood, actually) correctly surmised that South’s No Trump bid indicated that he had a defence against hearts and tried an unorthodox lead of a low club. South played the Ace from dummy to win then crossed back to his hand by playing a spade from dummy to the A♠.

So far so good, two tricks down. Seven to go…

However South now tried a diamond finesse (perhaps confused by West’s earlier bid of 2♦ which did not indicate a diamond holding but a weak hand with a long major suit, ie hearts). Anyway the finesse fails because East has the King. South then has to look on as the defence win four club tricks;.the contract fails by one.

There’s no doubt that the club lead is better than hearts here but what puzzled  me at first is why South went for the diamond finesse straight away, as it seemed very risky to me.

Looking at South’s hand and dummy only it is clear that there are 5 spade tricks to be taken unless the remainder split 5-0; South’s cross to hand at trick 2 shows this is not the case. Taking the opening trick plus five spade tricks leaves South only needing three more tricks to make the contract. There are however only two obvious winners remaining: A♦ in dummy and A♥ in hand.  South needs either the diamond finesse mentioned above or to somehow turn Q♥ into a winner. The finesse doesn’t work in that case either and West is highly unlikely to lead a heart into South’s tenace given that he didn’t lead one at the start!

It seems to me that East and West have four club tricks and one Diamond trick in the bag so South must go one off after that lead, unless of course East had been foolish enough to discard a club on one or more of South’s spade winners….

..  and only an idiot like me would do that!

PS. Standard advice would be for South to duck the first club trick, but it doesn’t help in this case.

Storm Warnings

Posted in Uncategorized with tags , , on December 28, 2015 by telescoper

The glass has been falling all the afternoon, 
And knowing better than the instrument 
What winds are walking overhead, what zone 
Of grey unrest is moving across the land, 
I leave the book upon a pillowed chair 
And walk from window to closed window, watching 
Boughs strain against the sky

And think again, as often when the air 
Moves inward toward a silent core of waiting, 
How with a single purpose time has traveled 
By secret currents of the undiscerned 
Into this polar realm. Weather abroad 
And weather in the heart alike come on 
Regardless of prediction.

Between foreseeing and averting change 
Lies all the mastery of elements 
Which clocks and weatherglasses cannot alter. 
Time in the hand is not control of time, 
Nor shattered fragments of an instrument 
A proof against the wind; the wind will rise,
We can only close the shutters.

I draw the curtains as the sky goes black 
And set a match to candles sheathed in glass 
Against the keyhole draught, the insistent whine 
Of weather through the unsealed aperture. 
This is our sole defense against the season; 
These are the things we have learned to do 
Who live in troubled regions.

by Adrienne Rich (1929-2012)

Boxing Day on the Beach

Posted in Uncategorized on December 26, 2015 by telescoper

This afternoon’s traditional Boxing Day run out in the car took us to Tynemouth and Cullercoats where some hardy folk were attempting to surf in the North Sea despite the inclement weather. Here are some pictures..

image

image

image

image

image

image

Traditional Christmas Message

Posted in Uncategorized on December 25, 2015 by telescoper

I am here enjoying the Festive Season in my ancestral home of Newcastle upon Tyne which is not in the Midlands. As you can see we have spared no expense.

image

Anyway before we embark on an appropriately extravagant dinner I thought I would take the opportunity to wish you and your loved ones a very Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year, wherever you are in the world!

Are we being shortchanged in our Celebrations tubs?

Posted in Uncategorized on December 21, 2015 by telescoper

Here’s a chance to provide some data for an important study. It probably helps if you like chocolate.

ravisubbie's avatarMore Known Than Proven

20151220_132141-01.jpeg My final, new improved bar chart with a different tub of Celebrations. Note the purpose made graph paper

Yesterday I posted a tongue-in-cheek picture on Facebook of a bar chart (not the one above) that I made up of sweets in a Celebrations tub. It was a riposte to a pie chart that Simon Brew had done here. As someone who likes good data visualisation I find pie charts nearly always to be worse than a bar chart – if you want to know why read Edward Tufte or this or this.

Below, on the left is Simon’s pie chart, and on the right is the bar chart I did with my own tub of Celebrations. My bar chart shows I’m clearly being short changed on the Malteasers (which I love) and there are far too many Bounty bars (who likes Bounty bars?!?).

pie_chart Simon’s bar chart

12390885_10156263641790507_4443434368670656197_n My initial…

View original post 592 more words

Sussex in Pseuds Corner

Posted in Uncategorized on December 11, 2015 by telescoper

Travelling up to London for the last Royal Astronomical Society meeting and Club Dinner of the year, I noticed that the University of Sussex has rounded off a good year with a coveted place in Private Eye’s Pseuds Corner.

image

I am sure this achievement will be an inspiration to all my colleagues and spur us all on to even greater heights next year..