Archive for Cosmology

A galaxy at redshift z=14.44?

Posted in OJAp Papers, The Universe and Stuff with tags , , , , , on May 19, 2025 by telescoper

This morning’s arXiv mailing presented me with a distraction from examination marking in the form of a paper by Naidu et al. with this abstract:

This paper has been submitted to the Open Journal of Astrophysics. In the relatively recent past, papers like this about record-breaking galaxies would normally be submitted to Nature so perhaps we’re at last starting to see a change of culture?

I usually feel a bit conflicted in situations when a paper has been submitted for editorial review there. In this case I am posting it here for two reasons: one is that I am not the Editor responsible for this paper; the other is that the arXiv submission specifically says

Submitted to the Open Journal of Astrophysics. Comments greatly appreciated and warmly welcomed!

In order to generate flagging it here to encourage people to comment, either through the box below or by contacting the authors.

For reference, here is the key plot showing the spectrum from which the redshift is determined. It is rather noisy, but the Lyman break seems reasonably convincing and there are some emission lines that appear to offer corroborative evidence:

You might want to read this article (another OJAp paper) which contains this plot showing how galaxies at redshift z>10 challenge the standard model:

Please read the paper and comment if you wish!

The CosmoVerse: The White Paper

Posted in The Universe and Stuff with tags , , , on May 16, 2025 by telescoper

Newly announced on arXiv there is a review article with the title The CosmoVerse White Paper: Addressing observational tensions in cosmology with systematics and fundamental physics. The abridged form of the abstract reads:

The standard model of cosmology has provided a good phenomenological description of a wide range of observations both at astrophysical and cosmological scales for several decades. This concordance model is constructed by a universal cosmological constant and supported by a matter sector described by the standard model of particle physics and a cold dark matter contribution, as well as very early-time inflationary physics, and underpinned by gravitation through general relativity. There have always been open questions about the soundness of the foundations of the standard model. However, recent years have shown that there may also be questions from the observational sector with the emergence of differences between certain cosmological probes. In this White Paper, we identify the key objectives that need to be addressed over the coming decade together with the core science projects that aim to meet these challenges. These discordances primarily rest on the divergence in the measurement of core cosmological parameters with varying levels of statistical confidence. These possible statistical tensions may be partially accounted for by systematics in various measurements or cosmological probes but there is also a growing indication of potential new physics beyond the standard model. After reviewing the principal probes used in the measurement of cosmological parameters, as well as potential systematics, we discuss the most promising array of potential new physics that may be observable in upcoming surveys. We also discuss the growing set of novel data analysis approaches that go beyond traditional methods to test physical models.

arXiv:2504.01669v2

Here’s a plot demonstrating one of the tensions discussed in this paper, and widely on this blog, the Hubble Tension:


This is a very comprehensive review article consisting of over 400 pages and having over 400 authors. I expect all of you to read it over the weekend. There will be a test on Monday.

*One of whom happens to be a PhD student of mine.

Weekly Update from the Open Journal of Astrophysics – 26/04/2025

Posted in OJAp Papers, Open Access, The Universe and Stuff with tags , , , , , , , , , , , on April 26, 2025 by telescoper

It’s Satuday morning once again, and time for another update of papers published at the Open Journal of Astrophysics. Since the last update we have published two papers, which brings the number in Volume 8 (2025) up to 44 and the total so far published by OJAp up to 279.

The first paper to report is “Approximating non-Gaussian Bayesian partitions with normalising flows: statistics, inference and application to cosmology” by Tobias Röspel, Adrian Schlosser & Björn Malte Schäfer (Universität Heidelberg, Germany) which was published on April 23rd 2025 in the folder Cosmology and NonGalactic Astrophysics. It is an introduction to normalizing flows – a machine learning technique for transforming distributions – and its application to the extraction of cosmological parameters from supernova data.

The overlay is here:

You can find the officially accepted version on arXiv here.

The other paper this week is “Dwarf Galaxies in the TNG50 Field: connecting their Star-formation Rates with their Environments” by Joy Bhattacharyya & Annika H.G. Peter (Ohio State University, USA) and Alexie Leauthaud (UC Santa Cruz, USA).  This one was published on 24th April 2025 in the older Astrophysics of Galaxies and it studies dwarf galaxies with properties similar to the Large and Small Magellanic Clouds that form in different environments in the TNG50 simulation of the IllustrisTNG project.

The overlay is here:

 

and you can find the final accepted version on arXiv here.

 

That’s all for this week. I’ll have another update next Saturday.

That was the Dean’s Lecture that was..

Posted in Biographical, Maynooth, The Universe and Stuff with tags , , on April 15, 2025 by telescoper

As it was foretold, last night we had a very special event in Maynooth in the form of a public lecture with the title The Universe from Beginning to End by Nobel Laureate Prof. Brian Schmidt. Brian actually arrived on Sunday and is still here today; he will be returning to Australia from Dublin this evening. It was really great of him to take the time to visit us here in Maynooth not just for the lecture but to chat informally with staff and students. He also did some interviews with the media, e.g. here and here.

The talk, which was for a lay audience, was extremely well attended. In fact we had to move it to a larger venue than we originally intended. I don’t know the official attendance figures but I would guess somewhere between 400 and 500 people came. The talk was excellent, and there were lots of very good questions from the audience afterwards which Brian dealt with very engagingly. The talk was recorded and if it becomes available publicly I will provide a link.

At the end I even found myself on the list to have dinner with Brian in a local restaurant. All in all, it was an excellent day.

R.I.P. Jerry Ostriker (1937-2025)

Posted in R.I.P., The Universe and Stuff with tags , , , , , , on April 9, 2025 by telescoper

Once again I find myself using this blog to pass on sad news. This time it is of the death of renowned astrophysicist Jerry Ostriker (pictured left in 2012), who passed away on Monday 6th April 2025 just a week before his 88th birthday.

Jeremiah Paul Ostriker (to give his full name) was an extremely energetic, versatile and influential theorist who worked on a wide range of problems in diverse areas of astrophysics and produced a number of classic papers. Close to my own specialism I would quote two in particular: one written with Jim Peebles in 1973 about the stability of galactic disks; and the other with Martin Rees in 1977 about the role of gas cooling and fragmentation in determining the size of galaxies and clusters. He also did much to establish the use of hydrodynamic simulations in cosmology and was an early adopter of the current standard cosmological model, including a cosmological constant. He worked on many other things too, including pulsars and galactic nuclei.

I only met Jerry Ostriker a few times, mainly at conferences – where he was never shy to contribute to discussions after talks – but also once back in the 1990s when I was a visitor Princeton (where he was Professor). I didn’t have much time to talk to him then as he always seemed to be on the go, so I never really got to know him personally. After spending most of his career in Princeton, including a spell as Provost, in 2001 Ostriker moved to Cambridge for a short stint as Plumian Professor, before returning to Princeton.

There is a very nice obituary of Jerry Ostriker by Dennis Overbye in the New York Times.

Rest in peace, Jerry Ostriker

The Universe from Beginning to End

Posted in Maynooth, The Universe and Stuff with tags , , , on April 2, 2025 by telescoper

It’s not every day that you get the chance to attend a lecture by a Nobel Laureate, but 14th April 2025 will be such a day in Maynooth because the annual Dean’s Lecture for the Faculty of Science and Engineering at Maynooth University will be given by Professor Brian Schmidt who was one of the three winners of the 2011 Nobel Prize for Physics.

The description of his lecture is as follows:

Astronomers have pieced together the story of our Universe that begins more than 13 Billion years ago in a Big Bang. In the 2025 Dean’s Lecture, Nobel Prize Winner Prof Brian Schmidt will describe the journey that science has thus far taken to understand our Universe, describing what we know about the Cosmos and how we know it, as well as reflecting on some of the mysteries that remain. A chance to learn a bit about everything from Dark Energy to Black Holes, and an opportunity for the audience to ask questions at the end of the lecture.

The lecture is intended to be accessible to a wide audience and will be in person. It is free to attend but you need to register because space in the lecture venue is limited. To register and also find out more about the event please visit Eventbrite below:

I am delighted that Brian is taking time out of his busy schedule to visit us in Maynooth and am looking forward not only to his lecture but also for the chance for him to meet and talk to our students.

Last Chance to apply for the Professorial Position in Observational Astrophysics or Cosmology at Maynooth University!

Posted in Maynooth, The Universe and Stuff with tags , , , , on March 31, 2025 by telescoper

A couple of months ago I announced here a vacancy for a Professor of Observational Astrophysics or Cosmology at Maynooth. The position is on the AAS Jobs Register here. The deadline is 31st March 2025 which is today so if you were thinking of applying then this is your last chance! Applications close at 23.30 Irish Time; the clocks went forward yesterday so it’s actually 00.30 tomorrow CEST so you still have time. The application portal is here.

The strategic case for this Chair revolves around broader developments in the area of astrophysics and cosmology at Maynooth. Currently there are two groups active in research in these areas, one in the former Department of Experimental Physics (which is largely focussed on astronomical instrumentation) and the other, in the former Department of Theoretical Physics, which is theoretical and computational. We want to promote closer collaboration between these research strands. The idea with the new position is that the holder will nucleate and lead a research programme in the area between these existing groups as well as getting involved in outreach and public engagement.

It is intended that the position to appeal not only to people undertaking observational programmes using ground-based facilities (e.g. those provided by ESO, which Ireland recently joined), or those exploiting data from space-based experiments, such as Euclid, as well as people working on multi-messenger astrophysics, gravitational waves, and so on.

P. S. For those of you reading this from outside Ireland the job is tenured and includes a defined benefit pension way better than the equivalent UK system.

Not in Leiden…

Posted in Biographical, The Universe and Stuff with tags , , on March 24, 2025 by telescoper

It’s been a very busy day back to teaching after last week’s study break. This week there’s a big meeting in Leiden (Netherlands) which I would like to have attended as it combines the annual Euclid Consortium meeting with the 56th ESLAB Symposium. No doubt there’ll be a lot of discussion of the Euclid Q1 results announced last week. I can’t go, however, because of teaching commitments. The Euclid meetings are quite often scheduled in the summer, so I have a chance to attend, but not this time.

Anyway, I thought I would post a relevant memory from a previous trip to Leiden, about 30 years ago. which was taken at a conference in Leiden (Netherlands) in 1995. Was that really 30 years ago? Various shady characters masquerading as “experts” were asked by the audience of graduate students at a summer school to give their favoured values for the cosmological parameters (from top to bottom: the Hubble constant, density parameter, cosmological constant, curvature parameter and age of the Universe):

From left to right we have Alain Blanchard (AB), Bernard Jones (BJ, standing), John Peacock (JP), me (yes, with a beard and a pony tail – the shame of it), Vincent Icke (VI), Rien van de Weygaert (RW) and Peter Katgert (PK, standing). You can see on the blackboard that the only one to get anywhere close to correctly predicting the parameters of what would become the standard cosmological model was, in fact, Rien van de Weygaert…

Cosmology Results from DESI

Posted in Astrohype, The Universe and Stuff with tags , , , , , , on March 20, 2025 by telescoper

Yesterday evening (10pm Irish Time) saw the release of new results from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI), completing a trio of major announcements of cosmological results in the space of two days (the Atacama Cosmology Telescope and the Euclid Q1 release being the others). I didn’t see the DESI press conference but you can read the press release here.

There were no fewer than eight DESI papers on the astro-ph section of the arXiv this morning. Here are the titles with links:

You can see from the titles that the first seven of these relate to the second data release (DR2; three years of data) from DESI; the last one listed here is a description of the first data release (DR1), which is now publicly available.

Obviously there is a lot of information to digest in these papers so here are two members of the DESI collaboration talking with Shaun Hotchkiss on Cosmology Talks about the key messages from the analysis of Baryon Acoustic Oscillations (the BAO in the titles of the new papers):

A lot has been made in the press coverage of these results about the evidence that the standard cosmological model is incomplete; see, e.g., here. Here are a few comments.

As I see it, taken on their own, the DESI BAO results are broadly consistent with the ΛCDM model as specified by the parameters determined by the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) inferred from Planck. Issues do emerge, however, when these results are combined with other data sets. The most intriguing of these arises with the dark energy contribution. The simplest interpretation of dark energy is that it is a cosmological constant (usually called Λ) which – as explained here – corresponds to a perfect fluid with an equation-of-state p=wρc2 with w=-1. In this case the effective mass density of the dark energy ρ remains constant as the universe expands. To parametrise departures from this constant behaviour, cosmologists have replaced this form with the form w(a)=w0+wa(1-a) where a(t) is the cosmic scale factor. A cosmological constant Λ would correspond to a point (w0=-1, wa=0) in the plane defined by these parameters, but the only requirement for dark energy to result in cosmic acceleration is that w<-1/3, not that w=-1.

The DESI team allow (w0, wa) to act as free parameters and let the DESI data constrain them, either alone or in combinations with other data sets, finding evidence for departures from the “standard values”. Here’s an example plot:

The DESI data don’t include the standard point (at the intersection of the two dashed lines) but the discrepancy gets worse when other data (such as supernovae and CMB) are folded in, as in this picture. The weight of evidence suggests a dark energy contribution which is decreasing with time.

These results are certainly intriguing, and a lot of credit is due to the DESI collaboration for working so hard to identify and remove possible systematics in the analysis (see the papers above) but what do they tell us about ΛCDM?

My view is that we’ve never known what the dark energy actually is or why it is so large that it represents 70% of the overall energy density of the Universe. The Λ in ΛCDM is really just a place-holder, not there for any compelling physical reason but because it is the simplest way of accounting for the observations. In other words, it’s what it is because of Occam’s Razor and nothing more. As with any working hypothesis, the standard cosmological model will get updated whenever new information comes to light (as it is doing now) and/or if we get new physical insights into the origin of dark energy.

Do the latest observations cast doubt on the standard model? I’d say no. We’re seeing an evolutionary change from “We have no idea what the dark energy is but we think it might be a cosmological constant” to “We still have no idea what the dark energy is but we think it might not be a cosmological constant”.

Q1 Day – Euclid’s First ‘Quick’ Data Release

Posted in Euclid, The Universe and Stuff with tags , , , on March 19, 2025 by telescoper

Today is Q1 Day! This means the first public release of data from the full Euclid Survey. It’s only a very small portion (0.4%) of the survey – just 63 square degrees on the sky, while the full survey will be over 14,000 square degrees – but in contrast to earlier data releases, this has been passed through the full Euclid Ground Segment so it represents the true quality of the data we can expect for the rest of the mission. There are no actual cosmology results yet – there isn’t enough data to address the key science goals of Euclid – but there are some great illustrations of the many byproducts of a survey of this type.

Update: here’s one of the Cosmology Talks video by Shaun Hotchkiss with two members of the Euclid Consortium commenting on today’s data release:

As well as the splash of press coverage likely to follow the lifting of today’s embargo, there will be a deluge of Q1-related papers hit the arXiv on 20th March. You can find details here.

Here’s a gallery of pretty pictures released today. These are low resolution versions; try opening the image in a new tab to see it without the caption. You can find and explore higher resolution images on ESASky (see below). Picture credits are: ESA/Euclid/Euclid Consortium/NASA, image processing by J.-C. Cuillandre, E. Bertin, G. Anselmi for the first six images, then ESA/Euclid/Euclid Consortium/NASA, image processing by M. Walmsley, M. Huertas-Company, J.-C. Cuillandre for the next two (bottom row); and ESA/Euclid/Euclid Consortium/NASA; ESA/Gaia/DPAC; ESA/Planck Collaboration for the last one.

I’m taking the liberty to append the official ESA Press Release, which follows:

–o–

On 19 March 2025, the European Space Agency’s Euclid mission released its first batch of survey data, including a preview of its deep fields. Here, hundreds of thousands of galaxies in different shapes and sizes take centre stage and show a glimpse of their large-scale organisation in the cosmic web.

Covering a huge area of the sky in three mosaics, the data release also includes numerous galaxy clusters, active galactic nuclei and transient phenomena, as well as the first classification survey of more than 380,000 galaxies and 500 gravitational lens candidates compiled through combined artificial intelligence and citizen science efforts. All of this sets the scene for the broad range of topics that the dark Universe detective Euclid is set to address with its rich dataset.

“Euclid shows itself once again to be the ultimate discovery machine. It is surveying galaxies on the grandest scale, enabling us to explore our cosmic history and the invisible forces shaping our Universe,” says ESA’s Director of Science, Prof. Carole Mundell.

“With the release of the first data from Euclid’s survey, we are unlocking a treasure trove of information for scientists to dive into and tackle some of the most intriguing questions in modern science. With this, ESA is delivering on its commitment to enable scientific progress for generations to come.”

Tracing out the cosmic web in Euclid’s deep fields

Euclid has scouted out the three areas in the sky where it will eventually provide the deepest observations of its mission. In just one week of observations, with one scan of each region so far, Euclid already spotted 26 million galaxies. The farthest of those are up to 10.5 billion light-years away. The fields also contain a small population of bright quasars that can be seen much farther away. In the coming years, Euclid will pass over these three regions tens of times, capturing many more faraway galaxies, making these fields truly ‘deep’ by the end of the nominal mission in 2030. 

But the first glimpse of 63 square degrees of the sky, the equivalent area of more than 300 times the full Moon, already gives an impressive preview of the scale of Euclid’s grand cosmic atlas when the mission is complete. This atlas will cover one-third of the entire sky – 14 000 square degrees – in this high-quality detail.

“It’s impressive how one observation of the deep field areas has already given us a wealth of data that can be used for a variety of purposes in astronomy: from galaxy shapes, to strong lenses, clusters, and star formation, among others,” says Valeria Pettorino, ESA’s Euclid project scientist. “We will observe each deep field between 30 and 52 times over Euclid’s six year mission, each time improving the resolution of how we see those areas, and the number of objects we manage to observe. Just think of the discoveries that await us.”

To answer the mysteries it is designed for, Euclid measures the huge variety of shapes and the distribution of billions of galaxies very precisely with its high-resolution imaging visible instrument (VIS), while its near-infrared instrument (NISP) is essential for unravelling galaxy distances and masses. The new images already showcase this capability for hundreds of thousands of galaxies, and start to hint at the large-scale organisation of these galaxies in the cosmic web. These filaments of ordinary matter and dark matter weave through the cosmos, and from these, galaxies formed and evolved. This is an essential piece in the puzzle towards understanding the mysterious nature of dark matter and dark energy, which together appear to make up 95% of the Universe.

“The full potential of Euclid to learn more about dark matter and dark energy from the large-scale structure of the cosmic web will be reached only when it has completed its entire survey. Yet the volume of this first data release already offers us a unique first glance at the large-scale organisation of galaxies, which we can use to learn more about galaxy formation over time,” says Clotilde Laigle, Euclid Consortium scientist and data processing expert based at the Institut d’Astrophysique de Paris, France.

Humans and AI classify more than 380 000 galaxies

Euclid is expected to capture images of more than 1.5 billion galaxies over six years, sending back around 100 GB of data every day. Such an impressively large dataset creates incredible discovery opportunities, but huge challenges when it comes to searching for, analysing and cataloguing galaxies. The advancement of artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms, in combination with thousands of human citizen science volunteers and experts, is playing a critical role.

“We’re at a pivotal moment in terms of how we tackle large-scale surveys in astronomy. AI is a fundamental and necessary part of our process in order to fully exploit Euclid’s vast dataset,” says Mike Walmsley, Euclid Consortium scientist based at the University of Toronto, Canada, who has been heavily involved in astronomical deep learning algorithms for the last decade.

“We’re building the tools as well as providing the measurements. In this way we can deliver cutting-edge science in a matter of weeks, compared with the years-long process of analysing big surveys like these in the past,” he adds.

A major milestone in this effort is the first detailed catalogue of more than 380 000 galaxies, which have been classified according to features such as spiral arms, central bars, and tidal tails that infer merging galaxies. The catalogue is created by the ‘Zoobot’ AI algorithm. During an intensive one-month campaign on Galaxy Zoo last year, 9976 human volunteers worked together to teach Zoobot to recognise galaxy features by classifying Euclid images. 

This first catalogue released today represents just 0.4% of the total number of galaxies of similar resolution expected to be imaged over Euclid’s lifetime. The final catalogue will present the detailed morphology of at least an order of magnitude more galaxies than ever measured before, helping scientists answer questions like how spiral arms form and how supermassive black holes grow.

“We’re looking at galaxies from inside to out, from how their internal structures govern their evolution to how the external environment shapes their transformation over time,” adds Clotilde.

“Euclid is a goldmine of data and its impact will be far-reaching, from galaxy evolution to the bigger-picture cosmology goals of the mission.”

Gravitational lensing discovery engine
Light travelling towards us from distant galaxies is bent and distorted by normal and dark matter in the foreground. This effect is called gravitational lensing and it is one of the tools that Euclid uses to reveal how dark matter is distributed through the Universe.

When the distortions are very apparent, it is known as ‘strong lensing’, which can result in features such as Einstein rings, arcs, and multiple imaged lenses.

Using an initial sweep by AI models, followed by citizen science inspection, expert vetting and modelling, a first catalogue of 500 galaxy-galaxy strong lens candidates is released today, almost all of which were previously unknown. This type of lensing happens when a foreground galaxy and its halo of dark matter act as a lens, distorting the image of a background galaxy along the line of sight towards Euclid

With the help of these models, Euclid will capture some 7000 candidates in the major cosmology data release planned for the end of 2026, and in the order of 100 000 galaxy-galaxy strong lenses by the end of the mission, around 100 times more than currently known.

Euclid will also be able to measure ‘weak’ lensing, when the distortions of background sources are much smaller. Such subtle distortions can only be detected by analysing large numbers of galaxies in a statistical way. In the coming years, Euclid will measure the distorted shapes of billions of galaxies over 10 billion years of cosmic history, thus providing a 3D view of the distribution of dark matter in our Universe.

“Euclid is very quickly covering larger and larger areas of the sky thanks to its unprecedented surveying capabilities,” says Pierre Ferruit, ESA’s Euclid mission manager, who is based at ESA’s European Space Astronomy Centre (ESAC) in Spain, home of the Astronomy Science Archive where Euclid’s data will be made available.

“This data release highlights the incredible potential we have by combining the strengths of Euclid, AI, citizen science and experts into a single discovery engine that will be essential in tackling the vast volume of data returned by Euclid.”

Notes to editors

As of 19 March 2025, Euclid has observed about 2000 square degrees, approximately 14% of the total survey area (14 000 square degrees). The three deep fields together comprise 63.1 square degrees. 

Euclid ‘quick’ releases, such as the one of 19 March, are of selected areas, intended to demonstrate the data products to be expected in the major data releases that follow, and to allow scientists to sharpen their data analysis tools in preparation. The mission’s first cosmology data will be released to the community in October 2026. Data accumulated over additional, multiple passes of the deep field locations will be included in the 2026 release.

The three deep field previews can now be explored in ESASky from 19 March 12:00 CET onwards:

The data release of 19 March 2025 is described in multiple scientific papers which have not yet been through the peer-review process, but which will be submitted to the journal Astronomy & Astrophysics. A preprint of the papers is available here from 19 March 12:00 CET.  

Find more detailed information about the data release here. 

About Euclid 

Euclid was launched in July 2023 and started its routine science observations on 14 February 2024. In November 2023 and May 2024, the world got its first glimpses of the quality of Euclid’s images, and in October 2024 the first piece of its great map of the Universe was released.

Euclid is a European mission, built and operated by ESA, with contributions from its Member States and NASA. The Euclid Consortium – consisting of more than 2000 scientists from 300 institutes in 15 European countries, the USA, Canada and Japan – is responsible for providing the scientific instruments and scientific data analysis. ESA selected Thales Alenia Space as prime contractor for the construction of the satellite and its service module, with Airbus Defence and Space chosen to develop the payload module, including the telescope. NASA provided the detectors of the Near-Infrared Spectrometer and Photometer, NISP. Euclid is a medium-class mission in ESA’s Cosmic Vision Programme.

Contact: ESA Media relations (media@esa.int)